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DURHAM, NH – A majority of Democrats in the state that for a century held the first primary in the race for the White House do not want President Biden stand for election in 2024, according to a new poll.
A poll of the University of New Hampshire Survey Center released Tuesday also says the president’s favorable rating is at an all-time low and Biden is tied with Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg when respondents were asked who they would support in the 2024 Democratic presidential primary.
Only 31% of likely Democratic presidential primary voters surveyed said they wanted the president to run for a second term in the White House, with 59% saying they did not want Biden to run again. Support for a Biden re-election bid among New Hampshire Democrats has plummeted from 74% last summer to 54% in the latest UNH poll, which was conducted in June.
The president’s favorable rating in the latest poll of New Hampshire Democrats has fallen to 42%. And three-quarters of self-described Granite State Democrats said they were very or somewhat concerned about Biden’s age.
Even though Biden has repeatedly said he would seek a second term if he remains healthy, there has been much discussion and speculation for over a year as to whether the 79-year-old president stand for re-election. Biden made history in 2020 when he became the oldest person ever elected president. If he campaigns for re-election in 2024 and wins, Biden would be 82 at his second inauguration and 86 at the end of his second term.
The output of UNH survey follows a series of recent national polls that indicated a majority of Americans do not want Biden to run again.
The UNH Center for Inquiry asked Democratic respondents to choose their preference for their party’s presidential nomination from a list of potential White House hopefuls.
Buttigieg, who came second in the 2020 New Hampshire primary, was the choice of 17% of respondents, with Biden at 16%. The president placed fourth in the 2020 primary.
Another 2020 presidential candidate, Senator Elizabeth Warren of neighboring Massachusetts, was chosen by 10% of likely Democratic primary voters and tied with California Governor Gavin Newsom. Senator Amy Klobuchar of Minnesota, who also ran for the White House in 2020 and came third in New Hampshire, was at 9% in the new poll, with Senator Bernie Sanders at 8%. Sanders, the progressive champion and independent senator from neighboring Vermont, edged out Buttigieg to win the 2020 primary in New Hampshire and was runner-up behind Biden in the overall race for the Democratic nomination.
Vice President Kamala Harris, who would be considered the top front-runner for the nomination if Biden decides not to seek a second term, won just 6% of the vote. Harris also ran for the White House in 2020 but suspended her campaign before the primary and caucus schedule began.
Progressive Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez of New York garnered 5% support, with 2016 Democratic presidential candidate and former Secretary of State, New York Senator and First Lady Hillary Clinton at 3%, as well as 2018 and 2022 Georgia gubernatorial candidate Stacey Abrams. Everyone else on the list of potential suitors signed up at 2% support or less.
The June UNH survey indicated that 68% of New Hampshire voters did not want former President Donald Trump to make another run for the White House in 2024. But 62% of self-proclaimed Republicans wanted Trump to run for another term as president.
This same investigation made national headlines, indicating Florida Governor Ron DeSantis edged Trump 39% to 37% among likely voters in the GOP presidential primary. And the survey said Biden was ahead of Trump but DeSantis was ahead of the president in a hypothetical 2024 general election matchup.
The UNH Survey Center’s latest poll was taken July 21-25, with 1,043 granite staters, including 430 likely New Hampshire Democratic primary voters, polled. The survey’s overall sampling error is plus or minus three percentage points, with a sampling error of plus or minus 4.7 percentage points for questions asked of likely Democratic primary voters.