Quiz: Your low odds of winning Mega Millions

The Mega Millions jackpot is over $1.1 billionand the odds of each ticket winning Friday’s draw are 1 in 302.6 million.

How bad are those odds?

Take this not-so-serious quiz to find out.

[As Mega Millions hits $1 billion, winning doesn’t mean a happy ending]

You are 70 times more likely to be killed by a shark

It’s a bit cliché, but come on, it’s shark week! To be clear, it’s extremely unlikely that you’ll be killed by a shark — the odds are 1 in 4.3 million, according to the Florida Museum. International Shark Attack File – yet you are 70 times more likely to be killed by a shark than to win the billion dollars.

Of course, the chance of you being specifically attacked by a shark greatly depends on whether you’re in the water with an opportunistic shark, just as the chance of you winning the lottery greatly depends on whether or not you buy a ticket. . We use overall ratings for examples in this story; your situation will vary.

Question 1 of 5

If you are unlucky enough to be killed by a shark, which species are the most likely culprits?

It is not always easy to identify the shark, but when the species is knowngreat whites have killed the most people (57 over the past 442 years), followed by tiger sharks (36) and bull sharks (26).

Wobbegongs, like Grandma Shark and Baby Shark, haven’t killed anyone that we know of.

As far as movie beasts go, the mechanical Bruce in “Jaws” and the computer-generated Megalodon have together chewed up a dozen – not counting sequels – according to fan sites that track such things.

You are at least 216 times more likely to be struck by lightning this year

According to the United States National Weather Service, your chances of being struck by lightning are 1 in 1.2 million in any given year; the Lightning Safety Board says 1 in 1.4 million.

Question 2 of 5

In which state are you most likely to be affected?

The Tampa Bay area named its hockey team lightning, and not just because Flamingos had already been used. Tropical humidity, heat and ocean air currents make the atmosphere in Florida particularly unstable and prone to generating storms.

About 25 millions lightning strikes the ground every year, mainly in the summer. Hundreds of people are affected each year and around 20 die.

Between 2011 and 2020, 49 people were killed by lightning in Florida, more than double the rate in any other state, according to the Lightning Safety Boardanalysis of National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration storm data. Texas finished second with 22.

You are about 3,300 times less likely to be hit by space junk

Here is a silver lining!

NASA says there is million pieces old satellites, rocket parts and other debris of various sizes orbiting the Earth, and at least 27,000 of them are bigger than a softball. Pieces are constantly falling towards Earth, but estimates of the likelihood of one falling on you range from 1 in several billion to 1 in a trillion.

Question 3 of 5

How many people were affected by falling space junk?

A charred six-inch piece of a Delta II rocket’s fuel tank flew into a man’s shoulder oklahoma woman named Lottie Williams in 1997, while walking in a park with friends. It is the only confirmed case of space junk falling from orbit onto a human since the launch of the first satellite, Sputnik I, in 1957.

A Chinese boy was reportedly injured in 2002 when a piece of rocket debris from a recent launch broke his toe.

[Debris from China rocket launch to crash-land — and no one knows where]

Don’t even dream of perfect support

The Mega Millions jackpot isn’t the only big win this weekend. power ballThe grand prize is $170 million, and you have a similar – albeit slightly better – chance of winning it (1 in just over $292.2 million).

The odds of winning both are 1 in over 88 quadrillion. Compare that to something else with astronomical odds.

Question 4 out of 5

Which is more likely: winning both prizes or completing a perfect NCAA Tournament bracket?

If you fill your fork by guessing or flipping a coin, your odds of picking all 63 games correctly are greater than 1 in 9.2 quintillionbased on a story by Daniel Wilco about the NCAA website.

However, if you “know a little about basketball”, your odds of perfection increase dramatically, to 1 in 120.2 billion.

The person to get the the closest (verifiable) was Ohio’s Gregg Nigl, who correctly picked the first 49 games in 2019.

Question 5 of 5

Have you ever beaten crazy odds like this?

According to a provocative chain of calculations by author Ali Binazir. He’s a self-proclaimed “happiness engineer,” not a scientist or mathematician, though his paper goes into great detail about how he arrived at his theoretical conclusion. Suffice to say the odds are long.

When he added 150,000 generations of ancestors who also had to have everything that happened to create the two people who created you, he ended up with a number that is 10 followed by 2.7 million zeros.

These are odds much longer than your odds of winning Mega Millions and power ball and being attacked by a shark and being struck by lightning and being hit by space junk and complete that perfect NCAA tournament bracket.

Photo illustrations by Shelly Tan. Photos: iStock; Tom Pennington/Getty.

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