Hurricane trackers tracking two systems in the Atlantic

The National Hurricane Center is monitoring four disturbance areas – one rapidly gaining organization in the central Atlantic Ocean, one in the Caribbean, one off West Africa that emerged on Saturday afternoon, then a system in the North Central Atlantic which debuted in the update released Saturday at 8 p.m.

In Sunday’s 2am update, meteorologists now give the system in the central Atlantic a 60% chance of developing into a tropical depression or storm over the next five days – a sharp increase over 6pm compared to the 30% of the 8 a.m. update. Saturday morning – and 20% in the next 48 hours, compared to 10% at 2 p.m. According to the National Hurricane Center, conditions could become more favorable for development early next week as it moves through the central and western Caribbean.

It is producing disorganized thunderstorms as it moves west-northwest at 10-15 mph eastward from the Caribbean Sea.

A second area of ​​interest is an eastern Caribbean low pressure trough that emerged off the African coast and is moving west at 15 mph. On Saturday afternoon, the National Hurricane Center gave it a 20% chance of developing over the next five days.

The most recently recorded disturbance is 600 miles east of Bermuda and given a 20% chance of development in the five-day forecast.

None of the systems are a threat to Florida at this time. If either were to develop into a tropical storm, the first to do so would be Danielle and the second would be Earl.

It might just end up being the third august since 1961 there were no tropical storms in the Atlantic, according to AccuWeather.

There have only been three named storms this season so far – Alex, Bonnie and Colin – with the last, Colin, dissipating on July 3, meaning this 56-day streak is the third-longest in the story of the unnamed Atlantic hurricane season. storm since 1995.

The longest dry spell since 1995 lasted 61 days, from June 18 to August 18, 1999. However, this two-month period of inactivity was followed by a frenetic conclusion to hurricane season which featured five storms of category 4 (Bret, Cindy, Floyd, Gert, and Lenny) and dank category 2 Irene, who reached a rarity, with her eye passing Miami-Dade, Broward, and Palm Beach counties in mid-October. There was also a 59-day streak during the 2007 season.

Last minute alerts

Last minute alerts

As it happens

Get story development updates as they happen with our free email alerts.

Forecasters say dry air, Saharan dust and wind shear have been among the reasons there haven’t been more storms this year.

The most active part of hurricane season is from mid-August to late October, with September 10 being the statistical peak of the season.

The last Atlantic hurricane was Sam, which became a hurricane on September 24 and maintained that status until October 5 as it wound its way between the United States and Bermuda.

Of the three named storms so far this season, only Alex has made its presence known in South Florida in dumping up to 12 inches of rain In certain regions.

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration released its updated forecast for the hurricane season earlier this month.

NOAA predicts 14 to 20 named storms and 6 to 10 hurricanes, including 3 to 5 major ones, i.e. Category 3 or higher.

Hurricane season ends on November 30.

Leave a Comment